Here's a copy of the state of the portfolio from the start of that thread, updated to use today's closing prices and cash total. I've not updated the forecast income and yield and figures, as they're a bit more work and very unlikely to have changed significantly in a couple of trading days.
Code: Select all
Company (with EPIC Shares Purchase Current Current Sector Forecast Rank
top-up indicator) cost price value income yield Yld Cap Sum
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+ Lloyds LLOY 673 £1,800.00 57.40p £386.00 Banks £20.98 5.44% 14 1 15
- BP BP. 421 £1,875.12 463.45p £1,952.64 Oil & Gas Producers £133.31 6.83% 5 9 14
+ Vodafone VOD 1588 £3,056.56 190.40p £3,023.28 Telecoms (mobile) £199.12 6.59% 7 13 20
+ AstraZeneca AZN 77 £1,841.68 4058.50p £3,119.12 Pharmaceuticals £171.86 5.51% 13 15 28
+ Tate & Lyle TATE 650 £1,930.24 666.50p £4,335.04 Food Producers £184.26 4.25% 21 26 47
+ Br.Amer.Tobacco BATS 98 £1,937.68 4330.00p £4,223.68 Tobacco £160.51 3.80% 22 24 46
- SSE SSE 290 £3,598.00 1472.00p £4,271.36 Energy Utilities £261.94 6.13% 9 25 34
+ Aviva AV. 516 £1,999.76 439.50p £2,269.68 Life Assurance £119.91 5.28% 15 10 25
+ BAE Systems BA. 593 £1,869.84 590.00p £3,496.16 Defence & Aerospace £126.16 3.61% 23 21 44
+ British Land BLND 428 £2,138.40 589.00p £2,521.36 Property (REIT) £125.34 4.97% 17 12 29
+ RSA Insurance RSA 295 £1,890.48 529.00p £1,562.16 Non-life Insurance £42.61 2.73% 26 5 31
+ FirstGroup FGP 635 £2,060.00 102.00p £647.92 Travel £3.56 0.55% 27 2 29
+ Tesco TSCO 523 £2,148.32 205.20p £1,073.20 Supermarkets £0.47 0.04% 28 3 31
+ BHP Billiton BLT 124 £2,138.56 1292.00p £1,606.64 Mining £51.77 3.22% 25 6 31
- Carillion CLLN 1303 £4,213.28 246.80p £3,214.72 Constr'n / Prop.Serv. £245.14 7.63% 1 17 18
+ National Grid NG. 350 £2,224.64 907.70p £3,177.60 Energy Utilities £155.43 4.89% 18 16 34
+ Unilever ULVR 107 £2,299.52 3093.50p £3,299.84 Househ.Gds/Food Prod. £114.60 3.47% 24 18 42
- GlaxoSmithKline GSK 285 £4,093.60 1462.50p £4,161.04 Pharmaceuticals £234.02 5.62% 12 23 35
- Shell "B" RDSB 218 £4,740.64 2136.00p £4,650.72 Oil & Gas Producers £321.91 6.92% 4 28 32
- Pearson PSON 396 £4,058.24 777.50p £3,076.96 Media £203.81 6.62% 6 14 20
- HSBC HSBA 649 £4,405.76 627.20p £4,073.12 Banks £258.98 6.36% 8 22 30
+ Sainsbury SBRY 799 £2,609.68 227.90p £1,821.52 Supermarkets £82.56 4.53% 20 7 27
- Amec Foster Wh. AMFW 521 £4,794.48 438.70p £2,284.40 Oil & Gas Services £109.97 4.81% 19 11 30
- Marston's MARS 2562 £4,232.48 132.00p £3,381.68 Booze £194.70 5.76% 11 19 30
+ Imperial Brands IMB 56 £1,790.40 3385.50p £1,906.48 Tobacco £97.52 5.12% 16 8 24
+ Legal & General LGEN 1402 £3,338.24 241.80p £3,390.88 Life Assurance £201.10 5.93% 10 20 30
+ Aberdeen ADN 545 £1,719.12 269.90p £1,471.84 Other Financials £106.72 7.25% 3 4 7
- Galliford Try GFRD 359 £4,128.56 1285.00p £4,613.04 Constr'n / Housebldr £338.17 7.33% 2 27 29
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Subtotal £78,933.28 £79,012.08
Cash £1,788.72 £1,788.72
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Total £80,722.00 £80,800.80 £4,266.43
The following table gives the easily-generated information I provide for the "pre-poll" stage of this share selection, for each of the validly nominated shares in the thread, in descending order of forecast yield. All figures are DigitalLook figures or calculated from them:
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Company EPIC Sector Share Market Forecast Historical
price cap (£m) Yield Cover Yield Cover
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Aberdeen (+) ADN Other Financials 269.90p 3,571 7.3% 1.09 7.2% 1.08
Berkeley BKG Housebuilders 2762.00p 3,854 7.2%(*) 1.94(*) 6.9% 1.41
Vodafone (+) VOD Telecoms (mobile) 190.40p 50,999 6.6% 0.48 6.0% 0.44
Legal & General (+) LGEN Life Assurance 241.80p 14,386 5.9% 1.48 5.5% 1.39
Lloyds (+) LLOY Banks 57.40p 40,976 5.4% 2.28 3.9% 3.78
Imperial Brands (+) IMB Tobacco 3385.50p 32,591 5.1% 1.59 4.6% 1.61
Greene King GNK Booze 675.00p 2,091 5.0% 2.13 4.7% 2.18
Pennon PNN Water Utilities 787.00p 3,259 4.6% 1.14 4.3% 1.18
Br.Amer.Tobacco (+) BATS Tobacco 4330.00p 80,599 3.8% 1.50 3.6% 1.36
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Notes:
(+) These companies are proposed top-ups to existing holdings rather than new holdings.
(*) Berkeley Group's interim results today have announced changes to their dividend / capital return /
buyback plans. There is no chance that those are yet reflected in the DigitalLook forecasts that
these figures are based on, so treat these figures with great caution!
Note that I do not regard the information in the above table as enough for a proper decision about which is the best share to buy for GDHYP - it is for example missing information on debt levels and on the companies' dividend growth records. That doesn't mean that anyone has to look at those aspects (or indeed others) of the shares when deciding which one to vote for - just that I recommend doing so.
Please vote for the candidate you think is the best of the 9, or for the extra "None of the candidates is at all suitable for this GDHYP purchase" option if you don't think any of the candidates will do at all. (Note that the extra option is not "None of the candidates is the best company for this GDHYP purchase". For example, if you think that the best company to add hasn't been nominated but the second best has been, and the second best is good enough even though not ideal, please vote for the second best, not for the extra option. Also note that the extra option will not "win" the poll - it is just meant to provide me with feedback about the extent to which people think GDHYP has "painted itself into a corner".)
Voting in this pre-poll will end in 2 days' time, on Sunday December 4th. In accordance with my now-usual rules, the top three shares will go through to a final run-off poll, which I also expect to last two days and to end in time to set up the Halifax ShareBuilder purchase on Wednesday December 7th. More candidates will get through to that final run-off poll if there is a tie for third place.