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GlaxoSmithkline 2nd Quarter Results.

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idpickering
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GlaxoSmithkline 2nd Quarter Results.

#329404

Postby idpickering » July 29th, 2020, 12:08 pm

GSK delivers Q2 sales of £7.6 billion -2% AER, -3% CER (Pro-forma -10% CER*)

Total EPS 45.5p >100% AER; >100% CER; Adjusted EPS 19.2p -37% AER, -38% CER


Financial and product highlights

Reported Group sales £7.6 billion -2% AER, -3% CER (Pro-forma -10% CER * ; -8% CER excluding divestments/brands under review). Pharmaceuticals £4.1 billion -5% AER, -5% CER; Vaccines £1.1 billion -29% AER, -29% CER; Consumer Healthcare £2.4 billion +25% AER, +25% CER (Pro-forma -6% CER)

H1 Reported group sales £16.7 billion 8% AER, 8% CER (Pro-forma flat CER*; +1% CER excluding divestments/brands under review)

Sales decline in Q2 2020 reflects expected disruption from COVID-19, particularly in Vaccines as well as destocking from Q1 2020 in Pharmaceuticals and Consumer Healthcare

Total Respiratory sales £883 million +17% AER, +16% CER. Trelegy sales £194 million +62% AER, +58% CER. Nucala sales £241 million +24% AER, +21% CER

Total HIV sales £1.2 billion, -2% AER, -3% CER. Dolutegravir sales £1.1 billion, -1% AER, -2% CER, two-drug regimen sales £181 million, >100% AER, >100% CER (Dovato sales £68 million, >100% AER, >100% CER, Juluca sales £113 million, +35% AER, +33% CER)

Shingrix sales £323 million, -16% AER%, -19% CER

Total Group operating margin 37.4%. Adjusted Group operating margin 22.9%, reflecting lower sales and growth in investment in R&D

Total EPS 45.5p; >100% AER, >100% CER reflecting profit on disposal of Horlicks and other Consumer Healthcare brands

Adjusted EPS 19.2p -37% AER, -38% CER reflecting lower sales and higher non-controlling interests following creation of the Consumer Healthcare JV in 2019 and a higher tax rate

Q2 net cash flow from operations £2.76 billion. Free cash flow £1.95 billion

19p dividend declared for the quarter




And later;

Quarterly dividends

The Board has declared a second interim dividend for 2020 of 19 pence per share (Q2 2019: 19 pence per share).

GSK recognises the importance of dividends to shareholders and aims to distribute regular dividend payments that will be determined primarily with reference to the free cash flow generated by the business after funding the investment necessary to support the Group's future growth.

The Board currently intends to maintain the dividend for 2020 at the current level of 80p per share, subject to any material change in the external environment or performance expectations. Over time, as free cash flow strengthens, it intends to build free cash flow cover of the annual dividend to a target range of 1.25-1.50x, before returning the dividend to growth.

Payment of dividends

The equivalent interim dividend receivable by ADR holders will be calculated based on the exchange rate on 6 October 2020. An annual fee of $0.03 per ADS (or $0.0075 per ADS per quarter) is charged by the Depositary.

The ex-dividend date will be 13 August 2020, with a record date of 14 August 2020 and a payment date of 8 Oct 20


https://www.investegate.co.uk/glaxosmit ... 00074906U/

SlickMongoose
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Re: GlaxoSmithkline 2nd Quarter Results.

#329437

Postby SlickMongoose » July 29th, 2020, 2:17 pm

I'm actually impressed at how mediocre this company is. Nothing ever seems to change.

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Re: GlaxoSmithkline 2nd Quarter Results.

#329439

Postby kempiejon » July 29th, 2020, 2:22 pm

SlickMongoose wrote:I'm actually impressed at how mediocre this company is. Nothing ever seems to change.


Aye, for me a flat dividend hovering around 5% has a lot going for it compared to my overall HYP position similarly those lower yielders with faster growing income propositions picked up opportunely like Diageo currently yielding about half of GSK.

idpickering
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Re: GlaxoSmithkline 2nd Quarter Results.

#329445

Postby idpickering » July 29th, 2020, 2:55 pm

kempiejon wrote:
SlickMongoose wrote:I'm actually impressed at how mediocre this company is. Nothing ever seems to change.


Aye, for me a flat dividend hovering around 5% has a lot going for it compared to my overall HYP position similarly those lower yielders with faster growing income propositions picked up opportunely like Diageo currently yielding about half of GSK.


For me GSK, held alongside AZN in my HYP, form what I like to think is a pretty solid base for my HYP. Between them they amount to about 9% in capital value terms of my 25 share HYP. A rising dividend from both pharma shares would be better of course, but I'm happy to continue holding both.

Ian.

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Re: GlaxoSmithkline 2nd Quarter Results.

#329458

Postby monabri » July 29th, 2020, 3:50 pm

I've no holding in GSK.

Looking at the free cash flow of £1.95bn for the qtr , this seems more than sufficient to support the divi this quarter (5016m shares x £0.19).

Is there indication of increasing dividend cover?


http://financials.morningstar.com/ratio ... region=GBR

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Re: GlaxoSmithkline 2nd Quarter Results.

#329527

Postby SlickMongoose » July 29th, 2020, 10:48 pm

monabri wrote:I've no holding in GSK.

Looking at the free cash flow of £1.95bn for the qtr , this seems more than sufficient to support the divi this quarter (5016m shares x £0.19).

Is there indication of increasing dividend cover?


http://financials.morningstar.com/ratio ... region=GBR


Yeah the last few years their FCF per share has been higher than the dividend - 2019 was 117p vs the 80p dividend.

Problem is their net debt has also been shooting up due to their attempted investment in new products so I wouldn't get your hopes up for a dividend increase in the short term.

dealtn
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Re: GlaxoSmithkline 2nd Quarter Results.

#329616

Postby dealtn » July 30th, 2020, 10:17 am

SlickMongoose wrote:
monabri wrote:I've no holding in GSK.

Looking at the free cash flow of £1.95bn for the qtr , this seems more than sufficient to support the divi this quarter (5016m shares x £0.19).

Is there indication of increasing dividend cover?


http://financials.morningstar.com/ratio ... region=GBR


Yeah the last few years their FCF per share has been higher than the dividend - 2019 was 117p vs the 80p dividend.

Problem is their net debt has also been shooting up due to their attempted investment in new products so I wouldn't get your hopes up for a dividend increase in the short term.


I'm not a (current) holder. When do they anticipate that past investment becoming cash flow positive?

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Re: GlaxoSmithkline 2nd Quarter Results.

#329619

Postby SlickMongoose » July 30th, 2020, 10:22 am

dealtn wrote:
SlickMongoose wrote:
monabri wrote:I've no holding in GSK.

Looking at the free cash flow of £1.95bn for the qtr , this seems more than sufficient to support the divi this quarter (5016m shares x £0.19).

Is there indication of increasing dividend cover?


http://financials.morningstar.com/ratio ... region=GBR


Yeah the last few years their FCF per share has been higher than the dividend - 2019 was 117p vs the 80p dividend.

Problem is their net debt has also been shooting up due to their attempted investment in new products so I wouldn't get your hopes up for a dividend increase in the short term.


I'm not a (current) holder. When do they anticipate that past investment becoming cash flow positive?


Hard to say, the closest I can see to guidance on the subject is this part of the latest results:

This guidance reflected our expectations for growth in key new products, and the start of a two-year period in which we would continue to increase investment in these products and in our R&D pipeline

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Re: GlaxoSmithkline 2nd Quarter Results.

#329628

Postby dealtn » July 30th, 2020, 10:39 am

SlickMongoose wrote:Hard to say, the closest I can see to guidance on the subject is this part of the latest results:

This guidance reflected our expectations for growth in key new products, and the start of a two-year period in which we would continue to increase investment in these products and in our R&D pipeline


Having gone through the latest Q2/H2 trading update the closest they say on the expected change in free cash flow is "...over time...". The company isn't high enough on my list of potential investments for further analysis I think, although to answer a question like this perhaps a trawl through the, no doubt, large full year results might be fruitful.

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Re: GlaxoSmithkline 2nd Quarter Results.

#329651

Postby Wizard » July 30th, 2020, 11:38 am

SlickMongoose wrote:
monabri wrote:I've no holding in GSK.

Looking at the free cash flow of £1.95bn for the qtr , this seems more than sufficient to support the divi this quarter (5016m shares x £0.19).

Is there indication of increasing dividend cover?


http://financials.morningstar.com/ratio ... region=GBR


Yeah the last few years their FCF per share has been higher than the dividend - 2019 was 117p vs the 80p dividend.

Problem is their net debt has also been shooting up due to their attempted investment in new products so I wouldn't get your hopes up for a dividend increase in the short term.

Which is curious, given 117p is 1.46x 80p, and yet they say...

GSK wrote:The Board... intends to build free cash flow cover of the annual dividend to a target range of 1.25-1.50x, before returning the dividend to growth.

Surely if all that is correct they have met their objective and should be growing the dividend :?

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Re: GlaxoSmithkline 2nd Quarter Results.

#329686

Postby SlickMongoose » July 30th, 2020, 1:04 pm

Wizard wrote:Which is curious, given 117p is 1.46x 80p, and yet they say...

GSK wrote:The Board... intends to build free cash flow cover of the annual dividend to a target range of 1.25-1.50x, before returning the dividend to growth.

Surely if all that is correct they have met their objective and should be growing the dividend :?


They probably want to make sure cash flows are consistently growing rather than just short term. I sympathise with them, I wouldn't want to rush into raising the dividend either. A few years ago they were paying out way more than they were bringing in, their debt is huge, and the dividend has frankly been holding them back.

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Re: GlaxoSmithkline 2nd Quarter Results.

#329895

Postby funduffer » July 31st, 2020, 8:52 am

Don't forget we had a 20p special dividend in April 2016.

That is worth a few year's of inflation rate dividend increases.

FD


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