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Wind matters

daveh
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Re: Wind matters

#329473

Postby daveh » July 29th, 2020, 4:32 pm

Thanks for the link unfortunately (and surprisingly as its Aberdeen Uni) my University doesn't support access to Nature Energy. I'll have to see if I can access it any other way.

dspp
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Re: Wind matters

#331020

Postby dspp » August 5th, 2020, 10:06 am

GWEC - "A new industry report has revealed stronger than expected growth for the offshore wind industry, which could reach 234GW by 2030, from a global tally of just over 29GW at the end of last year."

https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... ind-energy

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Re: Wind matters

#341930

Postby dspp » September 22nd, 2020, 12:11 pm

Ever bigger turbines, heading towards 20MW

With the offshore wind turbines already moving to a double-digit era, the largest ones that will soon make up a wind farm will have a 10 MW output (MHI Vestas), to be followed by 12 MW (GE’s Haliade-X). Still, according to the analysis, utilizing 14 MW turbines (Siemens Gamesa), which will be on the market from the mid-2020s, will bring significant cost reductions compared to 10 MW class. Opting for 14 MW wind turbines will set off a “chain reaction” whereby fewer turbines needed for a project’s nameplate capacity means fewer foundations and less installation operations.

https://www.offshorewind.biz/2020/09/21 ... 2020-09-22

etc

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88V8
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Re: Wind matters

#342172

Postby 88V8 » September 23rd, 2020, 10:38 am

dspp wrote:Ever bigger turbines, heading towards 20MW

Interesting. In conventional fuel there was of course a steady rise in turbine size. I remember the introduction of the 1200MW sets in German PWRs.

The saving in offshore installation costs is a one-off, so larger sets are a bet on longevity. If they prove unreliable, the replacement costs will soon sink that one-off saving.

Not so long ago - well perhaps five years is long ago - there was a view that too much wind was a bad idea in terms of network resilience 'Wind farms can reliably supply less than 1% of installed capacity' https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2015/01/ ... ind-power/

I wonder what the strategic thinking is now. It seems someone has decided that batteries are going to save us.

V8

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Re: Wind matters

#342270

Postby dspp » September 23rd, 2020, 3:28 pm

88V8 wrote:
dspp wrote:Ever bigger turbines, heading towards 20MW

Interesting. In conventional fuel there was of course a steady rise in turbine size. I remember the introduction of the 1200MW sets in German PWRs.

The saving in offshore installation costs is a one-off, so larger sets are a bet on longevity. If they prove unreliable, the replacement costs will soon sink that one-off saving.

Not so long ago - well perhaps five years is long ago - there was a view that too much wind was a bad idea in terms of network resilience 'Wind farms can reliably supply less than 1% of installed capacity' https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2015/01/ ... ind-power/

I wonder what the strategic thinking is now. It seems someone has decided that batteries are going to save us.

V8


At $50/kWh which seems to be the LFP costs for Tesla's stuff announced yesterday I might be tempted to take my GF's advice and taper off my O&G exposure sooner rather than later. At $50/kWh one can do a lot of intermittency & network support.

I wonder how many ROPEC+ rulers watched yesterday's TSLA Battery Day. If any did, and if they understood it, they should have had pretty grim-faced expressions.

regards, dspp

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Re: Wind matters

#344235

Postby dspp » October 1st, 2020, 4:03 pm

10MW floaters coming soon, install by end 2022
"The Iberdrola-led international consortium has launched the FLAGSHIP project to develop and fabricate the first 10+ MW floating offshore wind turbine."

https://www.offshorewind.biz/2020/09/30 ... 2020-10-01

Note: EU funded R&D, no UK involvement, and no UK subsea and/or UK oil & gas 'expertise required .....

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Re: Wind matters

#350040

Postby dspp » October 23rd, 2020, 10:24 am

Teen scale turbines

"GE Renewable Energy’s Haliade-X prototype, the world’s most powerful wind turbine operating to date, has been optimized and is now operating at a 13 MW power output...... The Haliade-X 13 MW, which is an uprated version of the prototype that has been operating in Rotterdam since November 2019, recently secured its provisional type certificate and set a new world record by generating 288 MWh in one single day. This uprated 13 MW Haliade-X version will continue to feature 107-meter long blades and a 220-meter rotor and will be able to generate four per cent more Annual Energy Production (AEP) than the previous 12 MW version of the prototype, the turbine maker said."

https://www.offshorewind.biz/2020/10/22 ... 2020-10-23

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Re: Wind matters

#351711

Postby dspp » October 29th, 2020, 1:33 pm

Vestas buys full ownership of offshore wind JV with Mitsubishi in $832M deal
Vestas expects the 50-50 JV, which was formed in 2014 and supplies wind turbines to developers of offshore farms, to generate €1.4B ($1.65B) in revenues this year.

https://seekingalpha.com/news/3628183-v ... ent=link-3

Interesting, they are managing to stay on top.

regards, dspp

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Re: Wind matters

#351904

Postby dspp » October 30th, 2020, 9:35 am

dspp wrote:Vestas buys full ownership of offshore wind JV with Mitsubishi in $832M deal
Vestas expects the 50-50 JV, which was formed in 2014 and supplies wind turbines to developers of offshore farms, to generate €1.4B ($1.65B) in revenues this year.

https://seekingalpha.com/news/3628183-v ... ent=link-3

Interesting, they are managing to stay on top.

regards, dspp


A sign of the pressures on MHI,

"Plans for Japan's first homegrown passenger plane in more than five decades have been frozen.....Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, the company behind the new SpaceJet, is cutting its budget for the project.

Long-delayed, the Mitsubishi SpaceJet has missed six delivery deadlines going back to 2013.........Mitsubishi Heavy Industries said on Friday it would freeze development of its SpaceJet regional jet to bolster other parts of its business.

The company posted a 62.5% fall in its second quarter operating profit.........The SpaceJet suspension will help it lower costs by 120bn yen (£900m), the company said."


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-54654805

- dspp

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Re: Wind matters

#351908

Postby dspp » October 30th, 2020, 9:42 am

dspp wrote:
dspp wrote:Vestas buys full ownership of offshore wind JV with Mitsubishi in $832M deal
Vestas expects the 50-50 JV, which was formed in 2014 and supplies wind turbines to developers of offshore farms, to generate €1.4B ($1.65B) in revenues this year.

https://seekingalpha.com/news/3628183-v ... ent=link-3

Interesting, they are managing to stay on top.

regards, dspp


A sign of the pressures on MHI,

"Plans for Japan's first homegrown passenger plane in more than five decades have been frozen.....Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, the company behind the new SpaceJet, is cutting its budget for the project.

Long-delayed, the Mitsubishi SpaceJet has missed six delivery deadlines going back to 2013.........Mitsubishi Heavy Industries said on Friday it would freeze development of its SpaceJet regional jet to bolster other parts of its business.

The company posted a 62.5% fall in its second quarter operating profit.........The SpaceJet suspension will help it lower costs by 120bn yen (£900m), the company said."


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-54654805

- dspp


And more detail here,
https://www.offshorewind.biz/2020/10/29 ... 2020-10-30
which suggests to me that at this point the JV is about 10% of the Vestas turnover.

- dspp

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Re: Wind matters

#351911

Postby dspp » October 30th, 2020, 9:45 am

A couple more offshore wind snippets,

"The total pipeline of global offshore wind projects has grown by 47 per cent since January, despite the COVID-19 pandemic, new research published by RenewableUK shows. RenewableUK’s latest Offshore Wind Project Intelligence report reveals that the total capacity of offshore wind projects worldwide which are operational, under construction, consented, in planning, or in development currently stands at 197.4 GW, up from 134.7 GW in mid-January. Just over half of the pipeline, 99.6 GW or 50.5 per cent, is in Europe. The UK retains its top spot with a total pipeline of 41.3 GW, up 12 per cent since January when it stood at 36.9 GW. China has leapt from fourth place into second with an 80 per cent increase from 14.5 GW to 26.1GW."
etc
https://www.offshorewind.biz/2020/10/29 ... 2020-10-30

"France’s Ideol has signed a formal collaboration agreement with the Swedish Bygging Uddemann (BYUM) for the delivery of its concrete floaters for offshore wind. [using a slipforming approach] "

https://www.offshorewind.biz/2020/10/29 ... 2020-10-30

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Re: Wind matters

#352912

Postby dspp » November 3rd, 2020, 10:35 am

Twin turbine trials apparently successful at 1/10 scale
https://www.offshorewind.biz/2020/11/02 ... 2020-11-03

Concrete not to be dismissed in offshore floater bases (ok) and towers (!)
https://www.offshorewind.biz/2020/11/02 ... 2020-11-03

TLP vs catenary for deep water Japan, understandably
https://www.offshorewind.biz/2020/11/02 ... 2020-11-03

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Re: Wind matters

#353711

Postby dspp » November 5th, 2020, 11:11 am

GWEC puffery

The wind industry is on-track to achieve record growth over the next five years with over 348 GW expected to be installed between 2020-2024, bringing total global wind power capacity to nearly 1,000 GW by the end of 2024, which is an increase of 54 per cent for total wind power installations compared to 2019.

https://gwec.net/gwec-wind-power-indust ... 19-crisis/

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Re: Wind matters

#357367

Postby dspp » November 17th, 2020, 1:33 pm

"Rumour has it that the European Commission is considering a massive increase in installed offshore wind capacity by 2050, with as much as 300 GW to be in place by that time. According to media reports from Reuters and Euractiv, a draft of the EU Commission’s Offshore Renewable Energy Strategy, expected to be published on 18 November, comprises plans for a 25-fold increase in installed offshore wind capacity, which is currently at 12 GW."

etc https://www.offshorewind.biz/2020/11/16 ... 2020-11-17

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Re: Wind matters

#357986

Postby BobbyD » November 19th, 2020, 9:22 am

ReallyVeryFoolish wrote:Following SSE's announcement yesterday regarding Dogger Bank (to be the world's largest off shore wind farm, 50% SSE and 50% Equinor) are SSE well placed to become the UK's version of Orsted? Could be?

https://www.sserenewables.com/offshore- ... gger-bank/

RVF


Given the amount of wind capacity they have in and in development around the UK aren't Orsted the Orsted of the UK?

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Re: Wind matters

#358006

Postby BobbyD » November 19th, 2020, 9:58 am

ReallyVeryFoolish wrote:
BobbyD wrote:
ReallyVeryFoolish wrote:Following SSE's announcement yesterday regarding Dogger Bank (to be the world's largest off shore wind farm, 50% SSE and 50% Equinor) are SSE well placed to become the UK's version of Orsted? Could be?

https://www.sserenewables.com/offshore- ... gger-bank/

RVF


Given the amount of wind capacity they have in and in development around the UK aren't Orsted the Orsted of the UK?

Indeed, fair comment, but it remains a Danish company not a British one.

RVF


Well I know my small part of it is British owned, but I must confess the flag under which a company sales could not be of any less interest to me so I may not have taken your intended meaning.

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Re: Wind matters

#359539

Postby dspp » November 24th, 2020, 9:50 am


dspp
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Re: Wind matters

#359566

Postby dspp » November 24th, 2020, 10:48 am

Onshore wind (and solar) to be eligible for UK CfD auctions
https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... y-projects

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Re: Wind matters

#361356

Postby dspp » November 30th, 2020, 9:11 am

"The European Commission has approved the transaction through which Vestas will take full ownership of MHI Vestas Offshore Wind......Vestas said that the company aims to become the leading offshore turbine manufacturer by 2025.......
To that end, the company plans to introduce a new offshore wind turbine platform to rival the double-digit megawatt models currently on the market."


etc

https://www.offshorewind.biz/2020/11/27 ... 2020-11-30

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Re: Wind matters

#366644

Postby dspp » December 16th, 2020, 9:21 am

The 20MW units are coming .......

"KNUD E. HANSEN has presented ATLAS C-Class, a new jack-up platform for the offshore wind sector, with a jacking deadweight of 18,000 tonnes, 6,800 square metres of cargo deck area, which features a 3,000-tonne, 37-metre crane.
According to the company, this is currently the only wind turbine installation vessel (WTIV) capable of carrying six 14-16 MW wind turbines, and at least five of the next generation 20+ MW turbines."

https://www.offshorewind.biz/2020/12/15 ... 2020-12-16

The German/Dutch/Danish offshore wind hubs/island are coming ....... (there have been various other announcements recently)

"Denmark plans to build two energy hubs in 2030 with a combined minimum capacity of 5 GW. In the long term, the plan is to establish energy hubs with a total capacity of 12 GW of offshore wind energy in the North Sea and Baltic Sea."
https://www.offshorewind.biz/2020/12/15 ... 2020-12-16

- dspp


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