Donate to Remove ads

Got a credit card? use our Credit Card & Finance Calculators

Thanks to Anonymous,johnhemming,Anonymous,Rhyd6,dredd0, for Donating to support the site

Where to ask about bottoms!?

Pull up a chair, have a biscuit - discuss the site and general questions about the LemonFool
Bhoddhisatva
Lemon Pip
Posts: 52
Joined: July 31st, 2017, 11:30 am
Has thanked: 28 times
Been thanked: 14 times

Where to ask about bottoms!?

#290582

Postby Bhoddhisatva » March 13th, 2020, 5:52 pm

Don’t panic!
Nothing smutty matron ... honest.

I want to know where to ask a question as a new topic on the issue of identifying when the market is near or at a bottom.

I know conventional Foolish logic is not to try and time the markets but ... if one is lucky enough to have cash at hand it is a really tricky time deciding when to commit.

I’d like to discuss possible leading indicators for a bottom or upturn.

Can’t see an obvious home folder for such a debate?

Thanks in advance for suggestions.

Snorvey
Lemon Quarter
Posts: 3680
Joined: November 4th, 2016, 12:51 pm
Has thanked: 1562 times
Been thanked: 1770 times

Re: Where to ask about bottoms!?

#290591

Postby Snorvey » March 13th, 2020, 6:11 pm

it'll be either exactly 4 weeks after or before I buy.

I'll let you know.

(who has actually been dripping cash into Vanguard VUKE FTSE 100 because he can't decide on which individual shares to buy.

csearle
Lemon Quarter
Posts: 2245
Joined: November 4th, 2016, 2:24 pm
Has thanked: 1326 times
Been thanked: 526 times

Re: Where to ask about bottoms!?

#290624

Postby csearle » March 13th, 2020, 8:54 pm

Bhoddhisatva wrote:I’d like to discuss possible leading indicators for a bottom or upturn.

Can’t see an obvious home folder for such a debate?
Can't see a wonderful fit of any board but maybe Technical Analysis or Macro and Global Topics wouldn't be totally off the mark?

Chris

tjh290633
Lemon Quarter
Posts: 4523
Joined: November 4th, 2016, 11:20 am
Has thanked: 332 times
Been thanked: 1688 times

Re: Where to ask about bottoms!?

#290628

Postby tjh290633 » March 13th, 2020, 9:14 pm

I was once told "Never buy on a rising market nor sell on a falling market". Not infallible, of course.

It has been said that it is at the time of maximum panic that the market is likely to turn. Miners had a good turn up today, over 10% for RIO, BHP and S32 in my lot. On the other hand the caterers are looking a bit sad, like their cakes.

TJH

AleisterCrowley
Lemon Quarter
Posts: 4166
Joined: November 4th, 2016, 11:35 am
Has thanked: 1067 times
Been thanked: 1053 times

Re: Where to ask about bottoms!?

#290631

Postby AleisterCrowley » March 13th, 2020, 9:52 pm

Snorvey wrote:it'll be either exactly 4 weeks after or before I buy.

I'll let you know.

(who has actually been dripping cash into Vanguard VUKE FTSE 100 because he can't decide on which individual shares to buy.


yep, will be dribbling some hard-earned cash into VUKE and VWRL next week. (HSDL cheap dealing - I've 'lost' a five figure sum in a few weeks so may as well save £9 a trade :D )

Perhaps we need a Market Proctologist's board?

redsturgeon
Lemon Half
Posts: 5569
Joined: November 4th, 2016, 9:06 am
Has thanked: 546 times
Been thanked: 1059 times

Re: Where to ask about bottoms!?

#290664

Postby redsturgeon » March 14th, 2020, 6:18 am

You are correct that there is no obvious fit but there are related threads running.

On "How do I invest"

viewtopic.php?f=88&t=22024

"Investment Strategies"

viewtopic.php?f=8&t=19499

and as you suggest

"Macro and Global Topics"

So starting a thread on any of those would be fine.

John

Dod101
Lemon Half
Posts: 5477
Joined: October 10th, 2017, 11:33 am
Has thanked: 1176 times
Been thanked: 2128 times

Re: Where to ask about bottoms!?

#290697

Postby Dod101 » March 14th, 2020, 10:24 am

Not sure about where to ask about bottoms, but I know who to ask about bottoms, at least judging by the evidence from the High Court in Edinburgh this week.

Dod

Itsallaguess
Lemon Half
Posts: 5047
Joined: November 4th, 2016, 1:16 pm
Has thanked: 2026 times
Been thanked: 3533 times

Re: Where to ask about bottoms!?

#290705

Postby Itsallaguess » March 14th, 2020, 10:59 am

Bhoddhisatva wrote:
I want to know where to ask a question as a new topic on the issue of identifying when the market is near or at a bottom.


The thing about market-bottoms is that they really are only visible in the rear-view mirror....

You can't see them coming, and you can't see them whilst you're 'in' them..

On a slightly different note, the 'pursuit' of a 'market bottom' can lead to investor-paralysis, so I think it's going to be helpful if you try to think of this in a different way...

You don't 'have to' pull a 100%-investment trigger during the precise 'market bottom' phase for you to achieve good investment outcomes on a multi-year horizon....

Drip-feeding into these types of markets will often eventually lead to good results, but it's difficult to judge when we don't know what your investment-horizons are in terms of how quickly you expect to have to make any good returns...

If you expect to have to make capital gains in a short time-frame, then your window of opportunity is likely to be much smaller to get things absolutely right, but if you've got a long investment lifetime ahead of you then 30% drops in markets are something to perhaps start to drip-feed into and take advantage of..

'Stick to collectives' would be my bigger bit of advice though, rather than worrying too much about hitting the exact bottom of a particular cycle....

Cheers,

Itsallaguess

PinkDalek
Lemon Half
Posts: 5299
Joined: November 4th, 2016, 1:12 pm
Has thanked: 1324 times
Been thanked: 1496 times

Re: Where to ask about bottoms!?

#290711

Postby PinkDalek » March 14th, 2020, 11:11 am

redsturgeon wrote:On "How do I invest" viewtopic.php?f=88&t=22024


The sub description there is Investment discussion for beginners. Why you should invest your money, get help getting started.

Bhoddhisatva
Lemon Pip
Posts: 52
Joined: July 31st, 2017, 11:30 am
Has thanked: 28 times
Been thanked: 14 times

Re: Where to ask about bottoms!?

#291140

Postby Bhoddhisatva » March 16th, 2020, 9:19 am

Thanks and I've posted under Macro and Global topics as suggested above.

viewtopic.php?f=76&t=22278


Return to “Biscuit Bar”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests