Coronavirus - Turnaround/Unlocking

[neversay]

Many business owners, particularly in events and hospitality, are facing a brutal decision whether to liquidate their business now or limp on for another few months while getting deeper into debt in the hope of a great turnaround/unlocking. It's a broad question but I am interested to gauge your level of optimism/pessimism as to when a vaccine, therapy or 'surrender to the inevitable' could allow the events and hospitality industry (e.g. weddings, parties, meetings) to get back to any form of normality.

[neversay]

(One further prospect that I didn't mention could be the availability of the 15-minute tests).

Thanks for the responses so far. The profile does seem to reflect the current uncertainty and terrible dilemma for some business owners.

[Adamski]

I put Q2 2021. I think the virus will still be with us but by then a full year would have past, and the public consensus will have changed, to live with it to some degree. Not that things will fully open up, but a return to semi normality with social distancing still being practised. Thanks China

[stevensfo]

The big test will be this winter. Will death rates go back to their previously high levels, or stay relatively low? There was always a certain amount of confusion about how deaths were recorded and how much the virus contributed to them.

Steve

[UncleEbenezer]

I wonder if Manchester and Wales - each at loggerheads with the centralised politburo - are the beginning of the end of government thinking or pretending it's in charge? Along with now (I think) widespread sympathy for the avoidably-desperate plight of students? They may be looking for the best way to Declare Victory and Move On.

Westminster - the only one in step. On this and other matters. Can't he go back to building fairy bridges and floating airports?