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So what is "high yield" now?

General discussions about equity high-yield income strategies
moorfield
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So what is "high yield" now?

#600464

Postby moorfield » July 7th, 2023, 7:02 am

FTSE 100 yield (dividenddata): 3.89%

10 year gilt yields: 4.70%


And more importantly, what is "too high yield" ? :twisted:

BullDog
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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#600466

Postby BullDog » July 7th, 2023, 7:03 am

Good question.

Dod101
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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#600473

Postby Dod101 » July 7th, 2023, 7:14 am

I will check the FT tomorrow but I am sure it is much more than 3.89% especially after the falls we have seen this week. What is too high a yield? I do not know but as always it depends on the company involved and whether I would trust them.

Dod

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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#600479

Postby BullDog » July 7th, 2023, 7:25 am

What's high yield? Assuming HL's page is correct, City of London IT presently yields 5.08%. Anything over that is high yield?

Dod101
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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#600481

Postby Dod101 » July 7th, 2023, 7:32 am

BullDog wrote:What's high yield? Assuming HL's page is correct, City of London IT presently yields 5.08%. Anything over that is high yield?


Ah but the question was 'What is too high a yield?' IT is clear that in a number of cases, too high a yield is probably something in to double figures these days.

Dod

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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#600511

Postby 88V8 » July 7th, 2023, 10:06 am

moorfield wrote:...And more importantly, what is "too high yield" ? :twisted:

Luni used to reckon 160% of the FTSE.

So LGEN verboten...

V8

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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#600532

Postby Alaric » July 7th, 2023, 11:46 am

moorfield wrote:FTSE 100 yield (dividenddata): 3.89%

10 year gilt yields: 4.70%


The old concept of a reverse yield gap comes back. Equities are lower yielding than Gilts because of the possibility of dividend and share price growth.

Dod101
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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#600533

Postby Dod101 » July 7th, 2023, 12:01 pm

88V8 wrote:
moorfield wrote:...And more importantly, what is "too high yield" ? :twisted:

Luni used to reckon 160% of the FTSE.

So LGEN verboten...

V8


I would be surprised if the FTSE100 is not much higher than 3.89%. I am sure it must now be well over 4%, probably more like 4.5%.

Dod

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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#600544

Postby Breelander » July 7th, 2023, 12:52 pm

Dod101 wrote:I would be surprised if the FTSE100 is not much higher than 3.89%. I am sure it must now be well over 4%, probably more like 4.5%.

Dod

No, just 3.9%. See for yourself, the data is here:
https://markets.ft.com/data/indices/tea ... =UKX.D:FSI

Dod101
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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#600547

Postby Dod101 » July 7th, 2023, 1:04 pm

Breelander wrote:
Dod101 wrote:I would be surprised if the FTSE100 is not much higher than 3.89%. I am sure it must now be well over 4%, probably more like 4.5%.

Dod

No, just 3.9%. See for yourself, the data is here:
https://markets.ft.com/data/indices/tea ... =UKX.D:FSI


That does surprise me given the way that share prices have fallen but then two biggies Shell and HSBC have had substantial cuts in recent years but at least they are both I think promising increases in dividends.

Dod

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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#600556

Postby Gerry557 » July 7th, 2023, 1:40 pm

moorfield wrote:FTSE 100 yield (dividenddata): 3.89%

10 year gilt yields: 4.70%


And more importantly, what is "too high yield" ? :twisted:


Usually I find the high yield things that I invest in are found to be too high in hindsight but the ones I don't invest in are usually fine. :D

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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#600581

Postby tjh290633 » July 7th, 2023, 3:19 pm

Looking at "World markets at a glance" from the FT, the yield on the FTSE100 is indeed 3.90%. another marker is the FTSE350HY index, which gives us 5.60%.

I always reckon that higher yield is anything above the market level. Too high is rather more subjective, as special dividends can come into play. The miners recently got into double digits territory recently for this reason. Woodside Energy has a very high yield, over 11%, but so does Vodafone. Are they both too high? One third of my holdings yield more than 7%. Another third have yields below 3.9%. I have two holdings which yield below 2%, which normally is my indication for a total sell. They are IMI and Haleon, neither of which I am inclined to sell. In fact, IMI is my best performing share and ranks second by weight.

I see no reason at the moment for disposing of any of my high yielders. It might be a reason not to top up, although Imperial Brands is the highest yielding share among those eligible. The very high yielders are all ruled out because of the share of dividend income which they contribute.

I do not see a prescriptive formula to make a yield too high. There are other factors to consider.

TJH

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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#600724

Postby Dod101 » July 8th, 2023, 11:40 am

tjh290633 wrote:Looking at "World markets at a glance" from the FT, the yield on the FTSE100 is indeed 3.90%. another marker is the FTSE350HY index, which gives us 5.60%.

I always reckon that higher yield is anything above the market level. Too high is rather more subjective, as special dividends can come into play. The miners recently got into double digits territory recently for this reason. Woodside Energy has a very high yield, over 11%, but so does Vodafone. Are they both too high? One third of my holdings yield more than 7%. Another third have yields below 3.9%. I have two holdings which yield below 2%, which normally is my indication for a total sell. They are IMI and Haleon, neither of which I am inclined to sell. In fact, IMI is my best performing share and ranks second by weight.

I see no reason at the moment for disposing of any of my high yielders. It might be a reason not to top up, although Imperial Brands is the highest yielding share among those eligible. The very high yielders are all ruled out because of the share of dividend income which they contribute.

I do not see a prescriptive formula to make a yield too high. There are other factors to consider.

TJH


Yes I was indeed surprised to find that the FTSE100 yields only 3.89%, partly as I said because the yield from the biggies in the index, HSBC, Shell and Astrazeneca are currently modest. I have a bias towards financials where the yields are much higher. Some will say that that increases my risk profile. I would not know and can live with the steady increases in the dividends from these companies.

Dod

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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#600853

Postby dealtn » July 8th, 2023, 10:14 pm

BullDog wrote:Good question.

Indeed an excellent question. Sadly most look at this with reference to "dividend" yield, and not more usefully as "earnings" yield.

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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#600886

Postby Dod101 » July 9th, 2023, 6:55 am

dealtn wrote:
BullDog wrote:Good question.

Indeed an excellent question. Sadly most look at this with reference to "dividend" yield, and not more usefully as "earnings" yield.


But if you are living off your dividends it is these that count. We cannot live off the earnings, and that was not the question. Sorry but you have introduced a red herring, however worthy a one.

Dod

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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#601057

Postby dealtn » July 9th, 2023, 9:44 pm

Dod101 wrote:
dealtn wrote:Indeed an excellent question. Sadly most look at this with reference to "dividend" yield, and not more usefully as "earnings" yield.


But if you are living off your dividends it is these that count. We cannot live off the earnings, and that was not the question. Sorry but you have introduced a red herring, however worthy a one.

Dod


If you live off dividends, and expect to do so for anything longer than the short term, then I'm afraid it IS the earnings you need to be looking at. It is that which counts and which you live off.

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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#601097

Postby Dod101 » July 10th, 2023, 6:37 am

dealtn wrote:
Dod101 wrote:
But if you are living off your dividends it is these that count. We cannot live off the earnings, and that was not the question. Sorry but you have introduced a red herring, however worthy a one.

Dod


If you live off dividends, and expect to do so for anything longer than the short term, then I'm afraid it IS the earnings you need to be looking at. It is that which counts and which you live off.
No ned to be afraid of anything. I am well aware of that, thank you.

Dod

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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#601180

Postby BT63 » July 10th, 2023, 1:22 pm

I don't believe in setting a specific yield. I believe in setting a relative level.
Anything in the highest-yielding quintile should be treated with suspicion, or viewed as high-risk/high-reward.
Also, anything in the lowest-yielding quintile could be overvalued and even if the company does well, the overvalued share price might not do well.

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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#601204

Postby Alaric » July 10th, 2023, 3:17 pm

BT63 wrote:I
Also, anything in the lowest-yielding quintile could be overvalued and even if the company does well, the overvalued share price might not do well.


Income seeking investors are not always bothered by share price considerations. A downside of chasing high dividend yield is that what you may gain on the dividend, you can lose on the share price, so the overall return is no better and may well be worse than a share with a yield close to the mean or median.

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Re: So what is "high yield" now?

#601208

Postby BT63 » July 10th, 2023, 3:35 pm

Alaric wrote:
BT63 wrote:I
Also, anything in the lowest-yielding quintile could be overvalued and even if the company does well, the overvalued share price might not do well.


Income seeking investors are not always bothered by share price considerations. A downside of chasing high dividend yield is that what you may gain on the dividend, you can lose on the share price, so the overall return is no better and may well be worse than a share with a yield close to the mean or median.


Very high yield shares are the most likely to be companies in trouble, even if their problems haven't hit the news yet. That can often result in further falls in their share price and risks to the dividend, hurting both capital and income.
So an income investor should be bothered about the higher than average risk to the too-good-to-be-true dividend.


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