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MrC's Smallcap Sweeps for Jul 2024

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MrContrarian
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MrC's Smallcap Sweeps for Jul 2024

#671880

Postby MrContrarian » July 1st, 2024, 7:41 am

Smallcap Sweep. 01-Jul-24
Forging ahead

Aptitude Software (APTD) >£4m three yr contract for Fynapse and the Aptitude Accounting Hub. [SP=370 Cap=216m]
Ascential (ASCL) talks on sale of sale of Hudson MX ongoing with multiple parties. [SP=337.82 Cap=682m]
Libertine (LIB) confirms £2m placing at 1.5p, a nil discount, to keep the lights on for a year. [SP=1.5 Cap=2m]
Verici Dx (VRCI) hermo Fisher Scientific has confirmed the completion of the transfer and achievement of all transfer-related activities for the pre-transplant prognostic testing technology licensed by VRCI. Triggers a further milestone payment. [SP=6.05 Cap=15m]
Induction Healthcare (INHC) sells subsidiary Horizon Strategic Partners for £1.2m completing the divestment of Induction's non-core assets. [SP=11.49 Cap=11m]
Argo Blockchain (ARB) extends its loan with Galaxy Digital Holdings to Dec 28. Balance down to $5.7m. [SP=8.5 Cap=60m]
SigmaRoc (SRC) 10 year strategic (natch') alliance with Duo Group to produce and sell sustainable limestone aggregates in the UK market. Potential £150m rev total over the period. [SP=66.65 Cap=739m]
Feedback (FDBK) wins contract for Bleepa Community Diagnostics Centre worth £500k over 1 year plus 1 yr option. [SP=70 Cap=10m]
SEEEN (SEEN) FY-Dec accounts not ready, suspension. Expects publication by 5 July. [SP=3.01 Cap=4m]
Harland & Wolff (HARL) FY-Dec out but accounts not ready due to the wrangle over deferred rev reconition. Suspension. Expects accounts in week commencing 8 July. FY-Dec - rev only £87m and a thumping loss. Keeps target of £200m this FY. UK Export Finance loan - "Further work continues on this facility and the Company expects UK Government to reach a decision after the General Election. Should there be any material delays to securing the facility post the General Election, the Company's ability to execute new and large contracts would be adversely affected". [SP=8.38 Cap=16m]
Argent Biopharma (RGT) $500k placing at 80 cents (~A$1.20) (a 400% premium to the 15-day VWAP of A$0.30 prior to the stock being placed in a Trading Halt on 28 June), to continue the development of key drug candidates, CannEpil and CimetrA. [SP=17 Cap=15m]
Codex Acquisitions (CODX) FY-Dec. Material uncertainty going concern stmt. [SP=5 Cap=m]

In line: PRV
Notes SP & cap are 20m delayed
DYOR, E&OE etc etc. I may have a position in any or all of the shares covered.

@MrContrarian

MrContrarian
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Re: MrC's Smallcap Sweeps for Jul 2024

#672071

Postby MrContrarian » July 2nd, 2024, 7:39 am

Smallcap Sweep. 02-Jul-24
Fatal Subtraction

Shoe Zone (SHOE) warns FY-Oct adj pretax only £10m+. Blames container rates and weak Spring Summer sales due to weather. [SP=151.71 Cap=72m]
Nanoco (NANO) warns FY-July rev marginally below consensus (£8.35m) and adj EBITDA towards the lower end of the range of forecasts (£0.5m to £1.5m). It won't get a further production order for its validated first generation sensing products during FY24. Working with customer to determine what's next. [SP=19.78 Cap=38m]
1Spatial (SPA) wins US contracts worth $0.6m ARR. Also a position on a five-year framework agreement with the State of Tennessee. [SP=69 Cap=75m]
hVIVO (HVO) wins field study assessing a flu drug candidate. Most of the rev expected to be recognised in FY25. No £££. [SP=26.67 Cap=181m]
Ilika (IKA) has shipped its first batch of prototype Goliath batteries for customer testing by a tier 1 automotive company. Note previous excitement has proven to be premature elation. [SP=24.25 Cap=41m]
BATM Advanced Communications (BVC) signs strategic partnership and cooperation agreement with a significant global technology, engineering and defence group to deliver BATM's advanced cybersecurity solution to commercial markets. Will get $2.1m minimum in first 2 years for the product customisation phase and the provision of an initial quantity of units, [SP=16.21 Cap=66m]
Checkit (CKT) wins 32 month contract worth c.£250k PA. Checkit is hopeful of signing further similar contracts with this customer. [SP=24.5 Cap=26m]
Crapita (CPI) renews contract to administer the Royal Mail Statutory Pension Scheme for 6 years from 2026. Two year extension option. Total £48m over 8 years. [SP=13.26 Cap=227m]
Creo Medical (CREO) expands agreement with Intuitive Surgical to increase the number of sites in the UK and Europe undertaking combined lung cancer diagnostic and microwave ablation procedures. [SP=33.4 Cap=121m]
Supreme (SUP) FY-Mar. Trading comfortably in line with FY25 expectations of rev £242m and adj EBITDA of £36.9m. [SP=177 Cap=199m]
Mercia Asset Management (MERC) FY-Mar. Pivots to focus on its profitable and fast-growing FuM. [SP=32 Cap=136m]

In line: KITW
Notes SP & cap are 20m delayed
DYOR, E&OE etc etc. I may have a position in any or all of the shares covered.

@MrContrarian

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Re: MrC's Smallcap Sweeps for Jul 2024

#672527

Postby MrContrarian » July 4th, 2024, 7:28 am

Smallcap Sweep. 04-Jul-24
The Importance of Seeing Earnings

Light Science Technologies (LST) guides H1-May rev up 19%, gross margin c.26.5% (20.9%) and EBITDA positive. In line? Throw me a frickin' bulb here. [SP=2.73 Cap=9m]
Distribution Finance Capital (DFCH) guides FY-Dec24 significantly ahead of market expectations driven by stronger net interest income, lower impairments and loss provisions and stronger cost control. H1 pretax expected to be £9m+, significantly ahead of its expectations. [SP=26 Cap=47m]
Fusion Antibodies (FAB) guides Q1-Mar rev c. £522k (£242k). Order book £0.7m. Cash will last to Q2 cal 2025. [SP=3 Cap=3m]
Image Scan (IGE) wins c.£3m three yr contract for the ThreatScan portable X-ray system to be recognised in FY25 and 26. [SP=1.35 Cap=2m]
itim (ITIM) five-year multi-million-pound contract with Assaí Atacadista, the largest Brazilian wholesaler, for the UNIFY Price & Promotions Optimisation solution. [SP=31 Cap=10m]
NewRiver REIT (NRR) buys Ellandi Management, an asset and development management business focused on UK retail and regeneration, for £5m plus £4m earn out. For FY-Apr Ellandi's fee income was £5.7m and EBITDA was £1.1m. [SP=79 Cap=245m]

In line: DEMG, PEEL
Notes SP & cap are 20m delayed
DYOR, E&OE etc etc. I may have a position in any or all of the shares covered.

@MrContrarian

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Re: MrC's Smallcap Sweeps for Jul 2024

#673358

Postby MrContrarian » July 8th, 2024, 7:37 am

Smallcap Sweep. 08-Jul-24
L'Oreal: I'm Worth it. Creightons: Emma Hardly worth it.

Creightons (CRL) writes down the Emma Hardie brand it overpaid for by £4.45m to only £0.66m. FY-Mar results will show improved underlying profit and cash generation in H2 in comparison to H1. [SP=20 Cap=14m]
Marston's (MARS) sells remaining non-core brewing assets for £206m. That's 14.5x EBITDA. [SP=30.7 Cap=195m]
Aptamer (APTA) guides FY-June rev £0.85m. £0.98m in orders were won in Q4. The pipeline of advanced sales negotiations is £2.1m. Bullish. [SP=0.69 Cap=3m]
Biome Technologies (BIOM) warns FY-Dec24 rev materially below market expectations with profit partially offset by higher margins and lower overheads. Expects small -ve U/L EBITDA. Blames various technical validations are finalised by come customers. Some signs of weak coffee packaging market in North America. Co examining ways to ensure that the Group has sufficient working capital ahead of anticipated customer ramp-ups in North America. [SP=69.88 Cap=3m]
Seeing Machines (SEE) buys Asaphus Vision, a highly specialised development group with leading Machine Learning (ML) and AI capability, for $6m. [SP=4.68 Cap=194m]
Macfarlane (MACF) buys protective packaging manufacturer, Polyformes, for £11.5m, including an earn-out of up to £4.8m. It is earnings accretive. [SP=117.5 Cap=188m]

In line: ZIN, QTX, PULS
Notes SP & cap are 20m delayed
DYOR, E&OE etc etc. I may have a position in any or all of the shares covered.

@MrContrarian

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Re: MrC's Smallcap Sweeps for Jul 2024

#673530

Postby MrContrarian » July 9th, 2024, 7:35 am

Smallcap Sweep. 09-Jul-24
I Could Have DCF'ed All Night

Sivota (SIV) Apester, its majority owned subsidiary in Israel, goes bust. The recovery value is not expected to be material. [SP=30 Cap=3m]
Haydale Graphene Industries (HAYD) wins China distribution deal worth $4m min over 5 years. Also provides Haydale with exclusive access to their new partner's range of proprietary Carbide and Cermet products for the US and UK markets. [SP=0.3 Cap=5m]
World Chess (CHSS) to host some chess game. [SP=4 Cap=28m]
Naked Wines (WINE) new $60m secured credit line. Gives $25-30m increase in unconstrained liquidity based on current inventory levels. [SP=61.33 Cap=45m]
Abingdon Health (ABDX) guides FY-June rev up 52%. Cash balance of £1.3m. Q4 C/F positive. Expects strong revenue growth in FY25. [SP=10.3 Cap=13m]
Crapita (CPI) sells standalone software business (Capita One) for £200m on a cash-free, debt-free basis.That's 10x EBITDA. [SP=15.48 Cap=263m]
Water Intelligence (WATR) buys Feakle Gas and Plumbing in Ireland for €2.32m structured as a four-year earnout. [SP=423.34 Cap=73m]
TPXimpact Holdings (TPX) FY-Mar. Guides FY25 in line, H2 weighted due to election timing. [SP=41.21 Cap=38m]
Synectics (SNX) H1-Mar. Guides FY more evenly weighted than in prior years and comfortably in line with market expectations of £52.9m rev and £3.5m adj pretax. [SP=185 Cap=33m]

In line: FIN, VTY, AGFX, BEG, CLBS, KINO, VEL
Notes SP & cap are 20m delayed
DYOR, E&OE etc etc. I may have a position in any or all of the shares covered.

@MrContrarian

MrContrarian
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Re: MrC's Smallcap Sweeps for Jul 2024

#673733

Postby MrContrarian » July 10th, 2024, 7:35 am

Smallcap Sweep. 10-Jul-24
Much Ado About Nothing

Equals (EQLS) The mountain labours and brings forth a mouse. Reveals indicative indicative offer after 8 months of talks and it's only 135p. PUSU extended again. [SP=117 Cap=220m]
Personal Group (PGH) sells Lets Connect IT Solutions for £2m "simplify the Group's structure and product set and allow for a greater focus on these core offerings". [SP=168.05 Cap=53m]
Amala Foods (DISH) update on RTO - continues talks with the FCA and "progress other work streams related to the Transaction and the development of the target business". [SP=0.12 Cap=1m]
Quadrise (QED) continues to work with MSC and project counterparties to conclude the binding agreement between Quadrise, MSC and Cargill for the vessel trials on board the MSC Leandra. [SP=2.09 Cap=37m]
Feedback (FDBK) collaboration agreement with Vertex In Healthcare, a specialist clinical IT firm with offices in the UK, UAE and South Africa, "to combine key technologies and resell each other's products". No minimum sales targets. [SP=63 Cap=8m]
The Gym Group (GYM) guides FY-Dec at the higher end of market expectations which are for EBITDA Less Normalised Rent £38.0m-£43.1m. H1 rev up 12% and LFL 9%. [SP=122.6 Cap=220m]
Cordel (CRDL) wins contract with Genesee & Wyoming, owner and lessor of more than 100 short line and regional freight railroads in North America. No $$$. [SP=4.5 Cap=9m]
Acuity RM (ACRM) AGM stmt - H1 orders up 50%, 80% in Q2. "We expect to be able to announce an accelerating rate of order wins and developments in all areas of the business over the next 12 months." [SP=3.22 Cap=5m]

In line: HSW, MPAC
Notes SP & cap are 20m delayed
DYOR, E&OE etc etc. I may have a position in any or all of the shares covered.

@MrContrarian

MrContrarian
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Re: MrC's Smallcap Sweeps for Jul 2024

#673908

Postby MrContrarian » July 11th, 2024, 7:46 am

Smallcap Sweep. 11-Jul-24
I'm Forever Blowing Money

Ilika (IKA) FY-Apr pretax loss £5.8m (£8.9m) on £21.m rev. Outlook "Cirtec contract represents most immediate commercialisation opportunity". Let's sing Ilika's theme tune: "I'm forever blowing money, Pretty money in the air, It flies so high, nearly reach the sky, Then like my dreams it fades and dies. Fortune's always hiding, I've looked everywhere, I'm forever blowing money, Pretty money in the air." [SP=26 Cap=43m]
Titon (TON) warns FY-Sep below mgmt expectations due to some hoped-for ventilation orders yet to convert into sales. Also continuing slow sales in Window and Door Hardware. Sales & Marketing Director scarpers, supposedly to cuts costs. [SP=79.6 Cap=9m]
Videndum (VID) warns H1-June weak as the cine and scripted TV market recovery is taking longer than expected. Broadcast TV segment OK.# [SP=273.5 Cap=258m]
MJ Gleeson (GLE) confusing FY-June trading stmt. Homes op profit c.£30 million, ahead of market expectations but in outlook says "Gleeson Homes' sales rate over the last six months was steady but less vigorous than expected as a consequence of deferred expectations around interest and mortgage rate reductions." Land op profit c.2m, below market expectations. [SP=575 Cap=336m]
Global Ports Holding (GPH) proposes to delist. Cash offer of $4.02 (312p) by Global Yatırım, a a 29% premium. [SP=258 Cap=198m]
Graft Polymer (GPL) two new provisional utility patent applications in US for treatment of substance use disorders and mental health disorders using depot drug delivery systems. [SP=0.14 Cap=m]
Totally (TLY) wins c.£11mm contracts to be recognised this FY. [SP=7 Cap=14m]
Cambridge Cognition (COG) gets Innovate UK grant for Bio-Hermes 2 project. No £££. [SP=39.12 Cap=16m]
Norman Broadbent (NBB) guides H1-June net fee income £4.5m, down 14% and U/L EBITDA £0.1m to £0.15m (£0.27m). "We are navigating extremely challenging market conditions. However, this doesn't impact the confidence we have in our prospects." [SP=6.15 Cap=4m]
Galliford Try (GFRD) guides FY-June rev and adj pretax above the upper end of forecasts of £1.435bn to £1.643bn and £26.7m to £29.2m resp. Order book of £3.8bn. [SP=272 Cap=283m]
Onward Opportunities (ONWD) NAV 116.32p/sh up 9.2% since Dec and 20.6% YoY. [SP=123.4 Cap=25m]


Notes SP & cap are 20m delayed
DYOR, E&OE etc etc. I may have a position in any or all of the shares covered.

@MrContrarian

MrContrarian
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Re: MrC's Smallcap Sweeps for Jul 2024

#674068

Postby MrContrarian » July 12th, 2024, 7:19 am

Smallcap Sweep. 12-Jul-24
Bust pipe part

PipeHawk (PIP) as mooted, subsidiary QM Systems selects administrators. PIP reiterates that this "will not impact PipeHawk's broader group of companies and the Board believes that the remainder of the Group will be able to continue to trade as a going concern". [SP=2 Cap=1m]

In line: SYS1
Notes SP & cap are 20m delayed
DYOR, E&OE etc etc. I may have a position in any or all of the shares covered.

@MrContrarian

MrContrarian
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Re: MrC's Smallcap Sweeps for Jul 2024

#674521

Postby MrContrarian » July 15th, 2024, 7:33 am

Smallcap Sweep. 15-Jul-24
Bargain/Runt

Genedrive (GDR) FDA assigns Breakthrough Device Designation for the Genedrive MT-RNR1 ID Kit. [SP=2.85 Cap=15m]
Destiny Pharma (DEST) proposes de-listing to give a realistic chance of securing the capital required to progress XF-73 Nasal through clinical trials having failed to raise funds for far. [SP=8.64 Cap=8m]
EnSilica (ENSI) wins $7m order for an edge AI processing chip. Expects $5m in this FY. Has alos won over $2m of services and NRE bookings. [SP=46.81 Cap=46m]
Cohort (CHRT) wins €33m three year contract with NATO Communications and Information Agency. [SP=810 Cap=337m]
Robert Walters (RWA) warns that any material improvement in confidence levels will be gradual, and likely not occur before 2025. Q2 net fee income down 12% at const currency. [SP=382 Cap=276m]
Silver Bullet Data Services (SBDS) has won 20 contracts in H1 worth £1.2m. These "contribute to committed revenues in FY 2024 representing nearly 70% of the full-year revenue target." [SP=74.45 Cap=13m]
MediaZest (MDZ) has won £500k orders in last 2 months. [SP=0.08 Cap=1m]
Harland & Wolff (HARL) the late FY audit is now undergoing final audit partner reviews. [SP=8.38 Cap=14m]
Spectra Systems (SPSY) wins 5 year lottery gaming software contract renewal worth $636k. [SP=239 Cap=111m]

In line: BGO, APTD, CNC
Notes SP & cap are 20m delayed
DYOR, E&OE etc etc. I may have a position in any or all of the shares covered.

@MrContrarian

MrContrarian
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Re: MrC's Smallcap Sweeps for Jul 2024

#674633

Postby MrContrarian » July 16th, 2024, 7:57 am

Smallcap Sweep. 16-Jul-24
Hanging in the balance sheet

Vanquis Banking (VANQ) doesn't expect to meet its FY24 guidance of low single digit ROTE. Further c.£11m of write-downs. H1-June new bookings in second charge mortgages exceeded expectations,. [SP=52.7 Cap=133m]
HeiQ (HEIQ) seeking to raise equity financing at the HeiQ AeoniQ subsidiary level. [SP=11.4 Cap=19m]
Libertine (LIB) update on proposed financing. Expects first amount to be received this month but size unknown! Co may seek short-term funding via a placing. [SP=1.85 Cap=3m]
Home REIT (HOME) proposes a managed wind-down. "The ability of the Company to make distributions to shareholders will be constrained whilst the Company faces potential group litigation and an FCA investigation." [SP=38.05 Cap=301m]
Journeo (JNEO) wins 2 contracts worth £3m with £1m booked by Dec. Tcontracts are included in management's expectations. [SP=212.1 Cap=35m]
Windward (WNWD) guides FY-Dec rev lightly ahead of market expectations and is confident of achieving an EBITDA break-even run rate this FY. [SP=99.67 Cap=88m]
Transense Technologies (TRT) guides FY-June rev up 18% and adj EBITDA up 21%, both slightly above market expectations. CO enters FY25 at a revenue run rate consistent with management expectations. [SP=129.75 Cap=20m]
Likewise (LIKE) £250k max buyback. Free underlay. [SP=16.65 Cap=41m]
Spectra Systems (SPSY) wins 'long-awaited contract for the third generation of sensors' worth $37.9m with a further $1.7m expected later this year. Expects bulk of rev from Q1 2025 through Q4 2027. [SP=235.9 Cap=113m]
Gateley (GTLY) FY-Apr. Guides FY25 in line. [SP=136 Cap=181m]
TruFin (TRU) Lloyds Bank gives notice to terminate its 5-year commercial agreement with Satago. Trading in line. [SP=76.35 Cap=67m]
Sosandar (SOS) FY-Mar rev up 9%. Guides FY25 rev miss but pre-tax in line as co prioritises margin over rev. [SP=10.25 Cap=25m]
Infrastructure India (IIP) shares suspended today because board no longer quarate. [SP=0.01 Cap=m]

In line: ITX, CODE, IOF, TRX, MCB, BRCK
Notes SP & cap are 20m delayed
DYOR, E&OE etc etc. I may have a position in any or all of the shares covered.

@MrContrarian

MrContrarian
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Re: MrC's Smallcap Sweeps for Jul 2024

#674748

Postby MrContrarian » July 17th, 2024, 7:31 am

Smallcap Sweep. 17-Jul-24
Your free taster of news morsels

Cohort (CHRT) wins 2 orders worth £21.4m to complete within 1 yr. [SP=840 Cap=349m]
Chill Brands (CHLL) CEO Callum Sommerton cleared of misuse of inside information. FY-Mar UK 'purchase orders' £1.8m. US $66k. Co reviewing its revenue recognition policies. FY audit won't meet end July deadline. [SP=2.15 Cap=11m]
Litigation Capital Management (LIT) FY-June realisations AUD56m. Outlook - investments continue to perform in line. [SP=110 Cap=128m]
CyanConnode (CYAN) in India it has passed multiple Site Acceptance Tests across several key projects and has achieved "Go Live" status in one. [SP=7.88 Cap=24m]
Versarien (VRS) outstanding convertible loan of €1.25m, plus accrued interest of €207k, converted into shares in its subsidiary Gnanomat. This is to allow Gnanomat to apply for local grant funding from the Madrid region. [SP=0.08 Cap=1m]

In line: NIOX, BRK, KBT
Notes SP & cap are 20m delayed
DYOR, E&OE etc etc. I may have a position in any or all of the shares covered.

@MrContrarian

MrContrarian
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Re: MrC's Smallcap Sweeps for Jul 2024

#674921

Postby MrContrarian » July 18th, 2024, 7:43 am

Smallcap Sweep. 18-Jul-24
Downtown Shabby

evoke (EVOK) warns H1-June adj EBITDA £35-40m behind plan. EBITDA margin only 13-14%, "primarily driven by phasing of costs with marketing costs heavily weighted to the first half, together with lower than expected revenue and the timing of cost saving actions taken...Profitability in H2 2024 is expected to increase significantly, with H2 2024 Adjusted EBITDA Margin expected to be approximately 21%." [SP=NA Cap=NA]
Mattioli Woods (MTW) takeover completion delayed to Sept due to delay in satisfying the NS&I Act condition. [SP=NA Cap=NA]
TruFin (TRU) wins contract with a Specialist Lender to provide its customers with invoice financing. No £££. [SP=NA Cap=NA]
Crossword Cybersecurity (CCS) £500k placing at 5p, a 26% discount, to keep the lights on. [SP=NA Cap=NA]
Novacyt (NCYT) AGM stmt on impact of DHSC Settlement - up to c. £7m net cash increase following VAT reclaim. [SP=NA Cap=NA]
Graft Polymer (GPL) follwing a review co has selected Awakn Life Sciences fot co's first commercial collaboration. Directors "believe that the combined know-how surrounding drug delivery systems and small molecule therapeutics for substance use and mental health disorders between the Company and Awakn will enable the development of innovative therapeutics for the large addressable market for trauma related mental health disorders". [SP=NA Cap=NA]
Versarien (VRS) preliminary Employment Tribunal hearing on Neil Rickett's claim delayed. [SP=NA Cap=NA]
PensionBee (PBEE) launches in US. [SP=NA Cap=NA]
Alumasc (ALU) guides FY-June U/L pretax at least £12.6m, ahead of forecasts of of £11.7m to £12.1m. [SP=NA Cap=NA]
Northern Bear (NTBR) FY-Mar rev down 1.5% but EPS up 9.5p up 12%. Current trading in line. [SP=NA Cap=NA]

In line: KRM, MIDW, PMP, NET, ART, FRAN, VNET, CAPD, CPP
Notes SP & cap are 20m delayed
DYOR, E&OE etc etc. I may have a position in any or all of the shares covered.

@MrContrarian


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