pyad wrote:I've always used forecast divs to get an idea of the likely immediate yield when considering HYP shares. This has nothing to do with SI. ...
For the benefit of anyone reading this who doesn't know why forecast dividends have nothing to do with SI (Strategic Ignorance): SI says to ignore all
long-term predictions about the future of the company (including any such predictions that one comes up with oneself). The forecast dividends many HYPers pay attention to are 1-year forecasts and sometimes 2-year forecasts - in both cases, they're
short-term. If a HYPer were to advocate using 10-year forecast dividends, that would conflict with using SI - but I've never seen a HYPer do that!
And to be clear, that's
only meant to say "using SI and using forecast dividends don't conflict with each other, so don't attack HYPers for using both",
not to imply that HYPers must use SI.
Gengulphus
Moderator Message:
Because of duplication this thread was moved away from HYP-P and later merged with another within Banking Sector. As a consequence the HYP slant on this topic is just one of many that are now on-topic. You may have been aware of this when you posted; you might also have not realised, depending upon your way in on this occasion. - Chris