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Budget 2024

including Budgets
Nimrod103
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Re: Budget 2024

#652004

Postby Nimrod103 » March 7th, 2024, 12:56 pm

funduffer wrote:Forget Hunt and the Tories, they are history.

If Starmer and Reeves have any sense they will introduce a dose of Bidenomics to try and address the delapidated state of the UK. I.e. a large package of public investment, and encouragement of private investment. We have to solve the productivity problem to get the UK growing again and less reliant on imported labour. This can only be achieved with investment (public and private).


Question: How do you get more private investment, if returns are poor and over taxed? Will Labour decrease taxes on companies and investment income?

Tedx
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Re: Budget 2024

#652005

Postby Tedx » March 7th, 2024, 12:57 pm

RockRabbit wrote:
Tedx wrote:We aint gonna see the Tories again for 10 years at least. Starmer is trying to keep his head down and just try to get over the line (preferably with a large, nay huge majority).

Once Captain Cardboard slides his ass into that leather armchair in No.10, then we'll see what he's really up to. And he can do whatever he wants tbh.

Tax property owning pensioners? No bother. Pay doctors and nurses and teachers? I'll sign it off now. Reopen discussions with the EU? Yep, it's on the to do list.

To be fair, Boris should have been a 3 term Prime Minister. But Boris was an idiot.

I'm not sure why you slagging off Starmer (and really, do you need to use a childish phrase such as 'Captain Cardboard')? We are where we are on taxes, public expenditure and widespread public sector mismanagement following 14 years of Conservative government. The Conservative Party own this mess.


I'm not slagging off starmer. If I was in his position, I'd being doing exactly the same thing right now (I e. Nothing). Victory will come to him And I agree, the Tories have knackered us big time.

As for my 'childish phrase'.....whatever dude. I'll say what I want on these boards without breaking the rules, so keep your whining to yourself.

Starmer IS easily the stiffest, most boring pm since Major though.

Lootman
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Re: Budget 2024

#652006

Postby Lootman » March 7th, 2024, 1:13 pm

U962 wrote:
tjh290633 wrote:This demonstrates the foolishness of reducing tax rates instead of raising the threshold. The latter will bring far bigger benefits to the low paid and pensioners, at no extra cost. Hunt should never have been made chancellor.

The problem the UK has is that the tax base is too small.
So we've ended up where as I recall the top 1% of earners pay 30% of all income tax and the top 10% pay 60% of all income tax receipts.
Added to which the increasing number who pay no tax have no incentive to vote other than for a party wanting to tax and spend - knowing that they will not be the ones being taxed to pay for it all.
A truly radical Chancellor would abolish the personal allowances entirely so everything you earn is taxed. Then everybody would have to pay something, the tax base would be far wider, the demands by the newly taxed to reduce spending by the gov would multiply and force action for a change.

Yes although I would go further. Abolish all allowances, deductions, nil rate bands and exemptions. Have just one rate of income tax, CGT and VAT. Set those rates at whatever level is revenue neutral. Simple and transparent.

The rich would still pay more tax but crucially everyone would pay some tax.

MrFoolish
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Re: Budget 2024

#652009

Postby MrFoolish » March 7th, 2024, 1:30 pm

Tedx wrote:Starmer IS easily the stiffest, most boring pm since Major though.


You'll have to remind me what Theresa May did which was so exciting. Or Sunak.

Arborbridge
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Re: Budget 2024

#652010

Postby Arborbridge » March 7th, 2024, 1:42 pm

Lootman wrote:
U962 wrote:The problem the UK has is that the tax base is too small.
So we've ended up where as I recall the top 1% of earners pay 30% of all income tax and the top 10% pay 60% of all income tax receipts.
Added to which the increasing number who pay no tax have no incentive to vote other than for a party wanting to tax and spend - knowing that they will not be the ones being taxed to pay for it all.
A truly radical Chancellor would abolish the personal allowances entirely so everything you earn is taxed. Then everybody would have to pay something, the tax base would be far wider, the demands by the newly taxed to reduce spending by the gov would multiply and force action for a change.

Yes although I would go further. Abolish all allowances, deductions, nil rate bands and exemptions. Have just one rate of income tax, CGT and VAT. Set those rates at whatever level is revenue neutral. Simple and transparent.

The rich would still pay more tax but crucially everyone would pay some tax.


How would that work if one is trying to live with an income of £12000?

Lootman
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Re: Budget 2024

#652013

Postby Lootman » March 7th, 2024, 1:46 pm

Arborbridge wrote:
Lootman wrote:Yes although I would go further. Abolish all allowances, deductions, nil rate bands and exemptions. Have just one rate of income tax, CGT and VAT. Set those rates at whatever level is revenue neutral. Simple and transparent.

The rich would still pay more tax but crucially everyone would pay some tax.

How would that work if one is trying to live with an income of £12000?

You would pay some tax but very little. Tax rates would be lower including VAT so it may net out for low earners.

Tedx
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Re: Budget 2024

#652015

Postby Tedx » March 7th, 2024, 1:47 pm

MrFoolish wrote:
Tedx wrote:Starmer IS easily the stiffest, most boring pm since Major though.


You'll have to remind me what Theresa May did which was so exciting. Or Sunak.


Well at least Teresa cried when she was kicked out.

Sunak, yes I take your point. But husband of the daughter of one of the richest men in the world isn't really going to be all that bothered about the job is he? It's just a springboard to a series of extremely well paid non executive directorships etc.

stevensfo
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Re: Budget 2024

#652016

Postby stevensfo » March 7th, 2024, 1:47 pm

MrFoolish wrote:
Tedx wrote:Starmer IS easily the stiffest, most boring pm since Major though.


You'll have to remind me what Theresa May did which was so exciting. Or Sunak.


Stiff and boring is what we want! Someone to run the country and not act the fool!

Major was doing quite well, until he formed his 'Back to Basics' mantra, and insisted on professional behaviour from his ministers, some of whom were sha**ging their secretary. ;) That was quite a belly-flop!

I have always been a supporter of the Conservatives, but Brexit, Cummings, Rees-Mogg and Boris were the straw on the camel's back.

No love for Blair ever since the Iraq war and that camera showed him asking the US President what he should do.

If Starmer is no good, we will vote him out. But give him a chance.

Steve

Tedx
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Re: Budget 2024

#652017

Postby Tedx » March 7th, 2024, 1:51 pm

Lootman wrote:
Arborbridge wrote:How would that work if one is trying to live with an income of £12000?

You would pay some tax but very little. Tax rates would be lower including VAT so it may net out for low earners.


I recall Michael Portillo talking to one of the Singaporian Finance Ministers. Their model is that everybody pays just a little bit in income tax - and it seems to work very well for them. I used to be a fan of the personal allowance, but now I think the UK should change its model, broaden the tax base and simplify the whole system.

kempiejon
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Re: Budget 2024

#652020

Postby kempiejon » March 7th, 2024, 1:57 pm

I used to hang out in the Cayman Islands, they had no tax on income, gains, property etc. There was import duty, nothing was made on island. Tourists had to pay to enter, stay and leave. You'd need to buy a permit or fee for loads of transactions or activities, I forget what strange things needed an annual licence for but having a boat was one of them and you had to buy a permit to drive. No traffic jams, not much traffic. I learnt it was up to 100% to import some cars, then registration, shipping etc.

Nimrod103
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Re: Budget 2024

#652026

Postby Nimrod103 » March 7th, 2024, 2:23 pm

Arborbridge wrote:
Lootman wrote:Yes although I would go further. Abolish all allowances, deductions, nil rate bands and exemptions. Have just one rate of income tax, CGT and VAT. Set those rates at whatever level is revenue neutral. Simple and transparent.

The rich would still pay more tax but crucially everyone would pay some tax.


How would that work if one is trying to live with an income of £12000?


How about trying to get a better paid job?

Arborbridge
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Re: Budget 2024

#652028

Postby Arborbridge » March 7th, 2024, 2:30 pm

Nimrod103 wrote:
Arborbridge wrote:
How would that work if one is trying to live with an income of £12000?


How about trying to get a better paid job?


Once more, you are the joker :lol: Unbelievable.

Nimrod103
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Re: Budget 2024

#652031

Postby Nimrod103 » March 7th, 2024, 2:39 pm

Arborbridge wrote:
Nimrod103 wrote:
How about trying to get a better paid job?


Once more, you are the joker :lol: Unbelievable.


You clearly have no ambition. What hope for the country?

vandefrosty
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Re: Budget 2024

#652032

Postby vandefrosty » March 7th, 2024, 2:40 pm

xeny wrote:
U962 wrote:
A truly radical Chancellor would abolish the personal allowances entirely so everything you earn is taxed. Then everybody would have to pay something, the tax base would be far wider, the demands by the newly taxed to reduce spending by the gov would multiply and force action for a change.


I think this is also potentially good for social cohesion. I know people from NZ and Norway and they often say "we decided to" about government policy/decisions rather than the UK centric "they decided to".


My experience from NZ, as well as everywhere else I've lived, is that folks say "we decided" positions that they personally agree with, and "they decided" those that they don't...

There are a couple of interesting aspects of NZ tax to add here.

Filing is very very simple, for two reasons. Withholding amounts are visible in your own tax account on the NZIRD website, almost in real time. If that's all your income and the tax withheld, then taxpayers don't need to do anything. And the tax code is very simple. There are almost no deductions available to individuals, only the cost of preparing the return. So nearly all income is within the tax net.

It's interesting UK non-dom tax will be replaced with a four-year exemption for new residents on foreign-sourced income. That concession has existed in NZ for at least the last ten years.

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Re: Budget 2024

#652042

Postby 77ss » March 7th, 2024, 3:40 pm

Adamski wrote:Yes, the Torys "own this". But they've got few weeks and will be gone.

We have to consider whats next, not what went in the past. Then we'll see if "green growth" and VAT on private school fees will pay for all the promises. (They won't)

Look past Starmer and Reeves, to the backbenchers - hamas supporters, purple haired socialists and unhinged greens. We're heading into scary times.


Thank you for your intellectual contribution.

1nvest
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Re: Budget 2024

#652047

Postby 1nvest » March 7th, 2024, 3:58 pm

MuddyBoots wrote:
1nvest wrote: More often businesses will prefer to pay for low wage migrants than develop/pay Brits. Recent measures indicate that the UK can expect a further 1.7 million increase in population (migration) over the next parliament.


I get what you're saying 1nvest, except that if migrants are entitled to the same benefits as the rest of us, why would they have a better work ethic ? What's to stop them working as long as the rules require it, then start playing the overburdened system which they can see going on all around them.

A competing migrant worker from a poorer country may very well be prepared to live a few years in shared/small accommodation, spend little, accumulate enough to return to their homeland relatively rich. Resulting in a situation of where employers favour migrant workers over Brits, a situation that ultimate leads to collapse, QED the Spanish Empire, where when their gold (assets) ran out they were dragged down to being poor, with little in the way of domestic assets/resources/skills.

TahiPanasDua
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Re: Budget 2024

#652049

Postby TahiPanasDua » March 7th, 2024, 4:01 pm

We lived in Hong Kong for more than 2 decades. Tax returns are super-easy and there is no CGT or dividend taxes to declare. Returning to fill in a UK tax return was a nightmare.

Off topic I know, but the other Hong Kong feature we loved was the ID card. You have to own one to realize how easier life becomes. (nuff of that TP!)

TP2

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Re: Budget 2024

#652050

Postby 1nvest » March 7th, 2024, 4:07 pm

monabri wrote:
Nimrod103 wrote:
I came to the same conclusion, and furthermore, abolishing NI contributions makes it easier for the state pension to become a means rested benefit.



Tax has to be paid ...we have a growing number of pensioners so they will be targeted (rich....home owning....THEY can afford it! goes the cry!).

Good luck with trying to live on £12K/year and paying tax if/when you get there, or do your children.
https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/pensi ... 45597.html
“All eight million taxpaying pensioners will see their taxes increase, by an average of £1,000 – an £8bn collective hit.

A country caring less for its elderly/infirm who don't have physical strength to fall back upon is a very sad state of affairs.

Seems to me to be a complete reversal of when Labour are looking to pick up the ecnomic mess that the Tories have left and looking to lower the taxation burden down from the 70 year high that the Tories have driven taxation to (since 1948 early post WW2 rebuild years).

Hunt/Sunak are ensuring that the Tory party will be vilified for a generation. A political dead-party-walking. Lab are potentially in a position to demonstrate and hence capture the grey and home-owner votes going forward. Tories seen as just incompetent crooks who wreck the economy and standard of living, in it for themselves and their mates.

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Re: Budget 2024

#652053

Postby 1nvest » March 7th, 2024, 4:15 pm

Tedx wrote:
RockRabbit wrote:I'm not sure why you slagging off Starmer (and really, do you need to use a childish phrase such as 'Captain Cardboard')? We are where we are on taxes, public expenditure and widespread public sector mismanagement following 14 years of Conservative government. The Conservative Party own this mess.


I'm not slagging off starmer. If I was in his position, I'd being doing exactly the same thing right now (I e. Nothing). Victory will come to him And I agree, the Tories have knackered us big time.

As for my 'childish phrase'.....whatever dude. I'll say what I want on these boards without breaking the rules, so keep your whining to yourself.

Starmer IS easily the stiffest, most boring pm since Major though.

Very much similar to the US IMO, a choice of the best of two bad choices and many will abstain, many will simply vote for change (current opposition party). 'Others' will also capture many votes - but are inclined to see few seats.

Either way and the prospects are bleak, Parliament has been and continues to be more of a liability than a asset. It was after all just a EU regional assembly for four decades, lacks the ability to manage things well, totally dissimilar to when it managed a Empire spanning the globe.

Hallucigenia
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Re: Budget 2024

#652054

Postby Hallucigenia » March 7th, 2024, 4:17 pm

Lootman wrote:Have just one rate of income tax, CGT and VAT. Set those rates at whatever level is revenue neutral. Simple and transparent.

The rich would still pay more tax but crucially everyone would pay some tax.


But crucially, rich people like you would pay less tax. This is just another variation on the selfish "I don't like paying tax, other people should pay it instead".

The real problem is not that tax is too concentrated, it's that income and capital gains are too concentrated. If you want to broaden the tax base, think about how to broaden income and capital gains. Measured by Gini coefficient the UK has the 9th out of 41 most unequal income distribution in the OECD, and has one of the least redistributive tax/benefit systems (per pp36-7 of this report from the Commons Library).

Abolishing allowances implies you support the creation a huge amount of extra bureaucracy devoted to chasing people paying <£2,512 of income tax, it's just make-work. And it's a fantasy to think that will automatically convert them to your way of thinking about tax, when polling suggests that even people who pay tax now, want to pay more tax if it means they will get better services, because the NHS and transport ex-London are crap, and people can see it.

But I agree with you that NI needs to be "simplified" - ie applied to unearned income and then merged into income tax. We don't hypothecate tax in other areas, but NI encourages the toxic "defined benefits" mentality that "I've paid my stamp [of £x] 30 years ago, so I'm now entitled to healthcare and benefits worth multiples of £x". Since you are such a visceral opponent of defined benefits I can see why you would want NI applied to unearned income and merged into income tax. These people with unearned income need to feel the pain of paying NI, it would be Good For Them by your thinking.

We also need to be more honest about employer NICs - starting with renaming it to employment tax. That would make it clear that we regard employment as a bad thing like cigarettes and alcohol, to be taxed as a way to get less of it. But applying employee NI to unearned income would allow the employment tax to be reduced and hopefully ultimately abolished.

xeny wrote:I think this is also potentially good for social cohesion. I know people from NZ and Norway and they often say "we decided to" about government policy/decisions rather than the UK centric "they decided to".


The Brexiteers had one part of their analysis correct, it is bad to have too many decisions taken remotely by people uninterested in us Brits. The problem is that they are in Whitehall and not Brussels. Even France has moved away from dirigisme from Paris in favour of more decisionmaking at regional level, whereas far too much of UK policy is set by Whitehall and it is blighting the country outside London.

It would have been better if Hunt had cut NI by 4p, and cut the grant to councils by the equivalent of 2p but given them the freedom to charge up to 4p in local NI.

I saw something recently that said the UK is almost unique in how little tax it raises at local level, something like 9% compared to 50% in some countries. How about we aim to raise 30% of tax at local level and cut the grants from central government?

There's all sorts of anomalies, like which of these properties pays less Council Tax?

Image
Image

Yep, it's Buck House - £1,824.10 for Band H in Westminster compared to £1857 for the Band B properties in Woodbury Drive, Dorchester in Tory-controlled Dorset. First step would be to change Band H into a % property tax, the current system is a blatant subsidy of the rich.


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