Clitheroekid wrote:As a sideline, I wonder when the BBC will stop issuing their daily gloomcast of the number of deaths etc. Now that the figures are down to the low 20's they are becoming rather silly, bearing in mind there are typically 1,600 - 1,700 deaths every day in normal times. Giving the CV deaths figure such prominence has the unfortunate effect of making these others seem unimportant. Non-covid deaths matter!
I see XFool has picked apart and highlighted most of the flawed thinking in your post, but s/he missed the particularly big flaw in the point above. It's depressing that so many are people still peddling it, even here.
The 1,600 to 1,700 deaths per day in normal times do not rise exponentially if left uncontrolled. Unlike deaths from COVID.
Oh and another point. Your post also seems to confuse coronavirus the infection with COVID the disease. Not everyone with coronavirus infection goes on to develop COVID the disease. EVERYONE with coronavirus infection however, is capable of infecting others.
Oh and yet another... It might not be us exaggerating the numbers. How do you know other countries are not understating theirs? There is a big incentive for any government to do so.