murraypaul wrote:XFool wrote:The UK is likely to see a "summer surge" in Covid cases as lockdown is relaxed, a government scientist says.
It seems very likely that we will see cases go up.
Hopefully vaccination levels will make it a manageable increase.
Yes, and in fact if the numbers do not go up this summer, the obvious conclusion would be that the latest lockdown was too restrictive and too long in duration.
There seems to be a fallacy out there that we must have zero cases. Maybe one day, like with smallpox, there will be zero cases. But that is nowhere close to the short-term or medium-term objective, which is to keep the numbers moderate and acceptable. The aim is management not eradication.
After all, we have non-zero numbers for a wide range of diseases, including a number of infectious diseases, and nobody is screaming for zero cases. The reality is that the voters will accept cases and deaths, in return for more freedoms, as long as they can continue to be contained.