Most UK deaths with Covid recorded in day since March
The number of people who died in the UK within 28 days of a positive Covid test, whose death was recorded in the last 24 hours, is at its highest since March.
Official data shows 146 people have been recorded as dying within the past day – the highest since 175 were recorded on 12 March
But it went on to say:
For the week ending 23 July, of 9,100 total deaths over seven days there were 308 fatalities in which Covid was mentioned on the death certificate.
Nobody knows what percentage of the population has had Covid, but in February they were saying that 15% of the population had contracted it - https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-15- ... y-12207328
That's just less than 1 in 6 of the population, and by definition the number must have increased since January. It seems reasonable to assume that it's now at least 20%, or 1 in 5.
So if there were 9,100 deaths in a week, one would have expected at least around 1,800 of them to have tested positive for Covid. In fact, as its concentration is highest in the over 80's, and they are the large majority of the deaths one would have expected the figure to be well over 2,000.
Yet it was only 308. And in that context the latest figure of 146 seems neither here nor there. Even assuming that figure was replicated every day the weekly total would still be well under the 1 in 5 that one would expect from a random selection of people.
It therefore seems to me that the numbers of people dying with Covid, let alone of it, are now so small as to be not worth reporting, let alone reporting with a splashy headline (though admittedly, it was the Guardian!)
In fact, on these figures, it would seem that you're less likely to die if you have got Covid than if you haven't!
