ONS - 1 in 60 - what am I missing?
Posted: October 17th, 2021, 3:29 pm
I've seen these kind of numbers a fair few times during the pandemic...
From what I've read, people who catch covid don't tend to get re-infected; it's not unheard of, but it's apparently not common.
But we're something like 80 to 90 weeks into the pandemic now.
I realise that each week will be different, but I recall seeing numbers in the 1 in 60 ball park or worse several times now.
If re-infection isn't all that common, surely, if the ONS estimates are even remotely correct, surely the vast majority of people must have had covid by now? And I mean, actually had covid, I'm not talking about vaccine protection, antibodies, etc, at all here.
I'm reading the 1 in 60 as meaning those 1 in 60 had covid in the past week. Or is that my mistake and the 1 in 60 is a running aggregate from throughout the pandemic?
"In England, the percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) continued to increase in the week ending 9 October 2021; we estimate that 890,000 people in England had COVID-19 (95% credible interval: 839,700 to 941,300), equating to around 1 in 60 people."
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulation ... ctober2021
From what I've read, people who catch covid don't tend to get re-infected; it's not unheard of, but it's apparently not common.
But we're something like 80 to 90 weeks into the pandemic now.
I realise that each week will be different, but I recall seeing numbers in the 1 in 60 ball park or worse several times now.
If re-infection isn't all that common, surely, if the ONS estimates are even remotely correct, surely the vast majority of people must have had covid by now? And I mean, actually had covid, I'm not talking about vaccine protection, antibodies, etc, at all here.
I'm reading the 1 in 60 as meaning those 1 in 60 had covid in the past week. Or is that my mistake and the 1 in 60 is a running aggregate from throughout the pandemic?