johnhemming wrote:Itsallaguess wrote:With that said, there really wasn't many people predicting a seasonal winter wave and then declaring it was over in October, which is what you did here -
That is how it appeared at the time.
In the end we in this forum have limited information to go on.
As I have said I make many predictions, not all of them are right. I think it is reasonable for me to explain my analysis and then people can decide if they agree with that analysis or not.
Except this was not a prediction, you presented it as a statement of fact.
I also think you draw criticism by incorrect use of words. For example you are fond (IIRC) of describing a rising trend as "peaking". I won't quote Humpty Dumpty yet again but some of the disagreement you provoke revolves around semantics. "Peaking" to most people means a rise in numbers which has reversed and started to fall. You seem to use the word "peaking" to mean numbers higher than before when no reversal has happened, and confusion is created.
A subtle difference, but one which leads me to wonder if some of your more bemusing deductions are down to this effect, and that I don't understand what you are saying at all.